Ann Marie Drohan

Summary

• Home sales in Canada rose by 0.5 % from May to June, the third increase in a row following five months of decline.
• New listings decreased by 1.3% from May to June, following a 0.9% decrease the previous month.
• Active listings increased by 0.5% in June, the second growth in three months.
• The number of months of inventory (active listings-to-sales ratio) remained unchanged at 4.8 during the month, following the first decline for this indicator since October 2025 in May.
• Market conditions tightened in June in many provinces but remained balanced at the national level, which largely reflects conditions in Ontario and B.C. that remain soft, while markets in all other provinces continue to favour sellers.
• Housing starts decreased by 14.1K from 253.1K in May to 239.0K in June (seasonally adjusted and annualized), a print below the consensus calling for 255.0K. The pullback was concentrated in urban areas (-13.3K to 227.8K), although rural starts also edged lower (-0.8K to 11.1K). Within urban areas, the multi-unit and other segment accounted for most of the decline (-10.2K to 189.9K), while single-detached starts also decreased (-3.1K to 37.9K). Among the major CMAs, starts rose in Vancouver (+4.2K to 23.8K), but declined sharply in Toronto (-12.4K to 25.4K) and more moderately in Calgary (-3.9K to 28.1K) and Montreal (-1.9K to 35.4K)
• The Teranet–National Bank Composite National House Price Index^TM declined by 0.4% from May to June on a seasonally adjusted basis. Six of the eleven CMAs included in the index posted declines during the month: Vancouver (-1.4%), Victoria (-1.2%), Calgary (-0.8%), Edmonton (-0.8%), Winnipeg (-0.6%), Ottawa-Gatineau (-0.5%), and Toronto (-0.3%). Conversely, prices rose in Hamilton (+3.2%), Quebec City (+0.7%), and Halifax (+0.6%), while they remained stable in Montreal.

https://www.nbc.ca/content/dam/bnc/taux-analyses/analyse-eco/logement/economic-news-resale-market.pdf